Wedges
signal a pause in the current trend. When you encounter this formation, it
signals that traders are still deciding where to take the pair next.
Wedges
could serve as either continuation or reversal patterns.
Rising Wedge
A rising
wedge is formed when price consolidates between upward sloping support and
resistance lines.
Here, the
slope of the support line is steeper than that of the resistance. This
indicates that higher lows are being formed faster than higher highs. This
leads to a wedge-like formation, which is exactly where the chart pattern gets
its name from!
With
prices consolidating, we know that a big splash is coming, so we can expect a
breakout to either the top or bottom.
If the
rising wedge forms after an uptrend, it's usually a bearish reversal pattern.
On the
other hand, if it forms during a downtrend, it could signal a continuation of
the down move.
Either
way, the important thing is that, when you spot it, you're ready with your
entry orders!
In this
first example, a rising wedge formed at the end of an uptrend. Notice how price
action is forming new highs, but at a much slower pace than when price makes
higher lows.
See how
price broke down to the downside? That means there are more traders desperate
to be short than be long!
They
pushed the price down to break the trend line, indicating that a downtrend may
be in the cards.
Just like
in the other chart patterns we discussed earlier, the price movement after the
breakout is approximately the same magnitude as the height of the formation.
Now let's take a look at another example of a rising wedge formation. Only this time it acts as a bearish continuation signal.
As you
can see, the price came from a downtrend before consolidating and sketching
higher highs and even higher lows.
In this
case, the price broke to the down side and the downtrend continued. That's why
it's called a continuation signal yo!
See how
the price made a nice move down that's the same height as the wedge?
What did
we learn so far?
A rising
wedge formed after an uptrend usually leads to a reversal (downtrend) while a
rising wedge formed during a downtrend typically results in a continuation
(downtrend).
Simply
put, a rising wedge leads to a downtrend, which means that it's a bearish chart
pattern!
Falling Wedge
Just like
the rising wedge, the falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation
signal.
As a
reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an
uptrend would come next.
As a continuation
signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action
would resume. Unlike the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish chart
pattern.
In this
example, the falling wedge serves as a reversal signal. After a downtrend, the
price made lower highs and lower lows.
Notice
how the falling trend line connecting the highs is steeper than the trend line
connecting the lows.
Upon
breaking above the top of the wedge, the pair made a nice move upwards that's
approximately equal to the height of the formation. In this case, the price
rally went a few more pips beyond that target!
Let's
take a look at an example where the falling wedge serves as a continuation
signal. Like we mentioned earlier, when the falling wedge forms during an
uptrend, it usually signals that the trend will resume later on.
In this
case, the price consolidated for a bit after a strong rally. This could mean
that buyers simply paused to catch their breath and probably recruited more
people to join the bull camp.
Hmm, it
looks like the pair is revving up for a strong move. Which way would it go?
See how
the price broke to the top side and went on to climb higher?
If we
placed an entry order above that falling trend line connecting the pair's
highs, we would've been able to jump in on the strong uptrend and caught some
pips! A good upside target would be the height of the wedge formation.
If you
want to go for more pips, you can lock in some profits at the target by closing
down a portion of your position, then letting the rest of your position ride.