When
trading breakouts it is important to realize that there are two main types:
False breakouts occur when the price breaks past a certain level (support, resistance, triangle, trend line, etc.) but doesn't continue to accelerate in that direction. Instead, what you might've seen was a short spike followed by the price moving back into its trading range.
1. Continuation
breakouts
2. Reversal
breakouts
Knowing
what type of breakout you are seeing will help you make sense of what is
actually happening in the big picture of the market.
Breakouts
are significant because they indicate a change in the supply and demand of the
currency pair you are trading. This change in sentiment can cause extensive
moves that provide excellent opportunities for you to grab some pips.
Continuation Breakouts
Sometimes when there is an extensive move in one direction the
market will often take a breather. This occurs when buyers and sellers pause to
see what they should do next. As a result, you will see a period of range-bound
movement called consolidation.
If
traders decide that the initial trend was the right decision, and continue to
push the price in the same direction, the result is a continuation breakout.
Just think of it as a "continuation" of the initial trend.... You're
so smart!
Reversal Breakouts
Reversal
breakouts start off the same way as continuation breakouts in the fact that
after a long trend, there tends to be a pause or consolidation.
The only
difference is that after this consolidation, traders decide that the trend is
exhausted and push the price in the opposite or "reverse" direction.
As a result, you have what is called a "reversal breakout". You catch
on quick!
False Breakouts
Now we
know by now you are super excited to start trading breakouts (please tell us
you haven't already started trading!) but you also have to be careful. Just
like Kobe Bryant can fake out defenders in the NBA, the market can fake you out
as well producing false breakouts.
False breakouts occur when the price breaks past a certain level (support, resistance, triangle, trend line, etc.) but doesn't continue to accelerate in that direction. Instead, what you might've seen was a short spike followed by the price moving back into its trading range.
A good
way to enter on a breakout is to wait until the price retraces back to the
original breakout level and then wait to see if it bounces back to create a new
high or low (depending on which direction you are trading).
Another
way to combat fake outs is by not taking the first breakout you see. By waiting
to see if the price will continue to move in your intended direction, you give
yourself a better chance of taking a profitable trade. The downside to this is
that you may miss out on some trades in which the price moves quickly without
any hesitation.
Read about Pipcrawler catching a EUR/USD breakout and Happy
Pip getting duped by a USD/CAD fakeout.